dcf.cymru stimulus sheet · Science · GCSE Integrated Science · Year 11

The cow and the car: a source folder on one climate claim

Practice folder written for this lesson. It is not a WJEC pre-release Resource Folder. The post, the farm, the Price family, Sir Gwernant county, the company blog and the union statement are invented. Sources 2, 3 and 5 are real, and the facts in the fact card are real.

Source 1: the post

@TrueGreenCymru · posted 2 days ago · 48,000 shares · 3,100 comments

PROOF: one Welsh dairy cow does more damage to the climate than a car. A farm’s OWN figures show one cow = 3,080 kg of CO2 a year. So forget cutting car journeys, they don’t matter. Stopping farming is the ONLY way Wales will ever reach net zero. SHARE before they delete this.

No link. No name. The account was created 5 weeks ago.

Source 2: fact card, greenhouse gases and carbon footprints

GasGWP over 100 yearsGWP over 20 yearsHow long it lasts in the air
Carbon dioxide11Much of it stays for centuries
Methane2884About 12 years, then it breaks down

Figures from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (2014). The newer IPCC report (2021) gives methane a 100-year GWP of about 27 to 30. Most carbon footprint figures, including the ones in this folder, use the 100-year GWP.

Source 3: extract from the IPCC Synthesis Report (real)

IPCC (2023) Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is a United Nations body. Its reports summarise thousands of peer-reviewed studies and are checked by scientists and governments. The report says human activities, mainly through emissions of greenhouse gases, have unequivocally caused global warming, and that deep cuts are needed in every sector: energy, industry, transport, buildings and land use, including agriculture.

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/

Source 4: the farm’s own figures (the original data behind the post)

Fferm Nant-y-Wern, dairy farm, carbon audit summary for the year (fictional)
Number of dairy cows90
Methane from digestion, per cow, per year (estimated by the farm’s adviser)110 kg
Milk produced in the year720,000 litres
Hedgerows and woodland planted in the last 5 years3.2 km of hedge, 4 hectares of trees
Note from the adviser“Methane per cow is an estimate. Hedges and trees take in some carbon dioxide, which we have not yet included. Figures are for this farm only.”

Source 5: Welsh Government, Net Zero Wales (real)

Welsh Government (2021) Net Zero Wales Carbon Budget 2 (2021 to 2025). The Welsh Government’s plan for cutting emissions. It sets out actions across the whole economy, including electricity and heat, transport, buildings, industry, agriculture, land use and waste.

https://www.gov.wales/net-zero-wales

Source 6: company blog (fictional)

MooClear Ltd blog · “Our feed additive cuts cow methane by up to 90%!”

“Farmers, don’t let the internet blame you. Just add MooClear to every feed and your herd’s climate problem disappears. Order today for 20% off.” No study is named. No author.

Source 7: statement from a farming union (fictional)

Undeb Ffermwyr Gwernant press release · “Welsh farms are part of the solution”

“Our members have planted hundreds of kilometres of hedgerow. Grassland and hedges store carbon. Welsh farms produce food that would otherwise be imported. Blaming farmers for climate change is unfair.” Gives no figures for emissions.

Source 8: data you will need for the calculations

The Price family (fictional), one household in Sir Gwernant, for one year. Emission factors are rounded and simplified for this lesson. Real values are published every year by the UK Government.

ActivityAmount in the yearEmission factor
Petrol car11,000 km0.17 kgCO2eq per km
Electricity2,700 kWh0.21 kgCO2eq per kWh
Gas heating11,500 kWh0.18 kgCO2eq per kWh
Flights (one holiday, 4 people)4,000 passenger km0.15 kgCO2eq per passenger km
Food for the household1,900 kgCO2eq (from an online food calculator)

Sir Gwernant county (fictional): total emissions 4.0 million tonnes CO2eq a year (1 tonne = 1,000 kg).

Sir Gwernant (fictional county): greenhouse gas emissions by sector Sir Gwernant (fictional county): greenhouse gas emissions by sector 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Industry and business30% Energy supply20% Agriculture18% Transport17% Homes10% Waste and other5% Share of the county’s greenhouse gas emissions (kgCO2eq)